Recent Publications
The Effect of State Policy Design Features on Take Up and Crowd Out Rates for the State Children's Health Insurance Program
Bansak, Cynthia and Steven Raphael (2006), “The Effect of State Policy Design Features on Take Up and Crowd Out Rates for the State Children’s Health Insurance Program,” Journal of Policy Analysis & Management, 26(1): 149-175.
2006-06-08Social Capital and Health in Indonesia
Miller, D.L., R. Scheffler, S. Lam, R. Rosenberg, and A. Rupp. “Social Capital and Health in Indonesia.” World Development 34:6 (June 2006): 1084-98.
2006-06-01This paper empirically examines the role of community social capital in the individual’s health production function. We focus on health measures relating to physical as well as mental health. In addition to exploring the relationship between social capital and health, we test for interrelationships between social and human capital in the production of health. Data come from more than 10 000 adults surveyed in the Indonesian Family Life Surveys of 1993 and 1997. We identify a robust positive empirical association between community-level social capital and good health. We find weak evidence for an interrelationship between human and social capital and mental health.
Behavioral Responses to Taxes: Lessons from the EITC and Labor Supply
Hoynes ,Hilary. “Behavioral Responses to Taxes: Lessons from the EITC and Labor Supply,” Tax Policy and the Economy Volume 20, pp. 74-110. MIT Press, 2006 (with Nada Eissa).
2006-06-01Twenty-two million families currently receive a total of $34 billion in benefits from the earned income tax credit (EITC). In fact, the EITC is the largest cash-transfer program for lower-income families at the federal level. An unusual feature of the credit is its explicit goal to use the tax system to encourage and support those who choose to work. A large body of work has evaluated the labor supply effects of the EITC and has generated several important findings regarding the behavioral response to taxes. Perhaps the main lesson learned from the evidence is the confirmation that real responses to taxes are important; labor sup- ply does respond to the EITC. The second major lesson is related to the nature of the labor supply response. A consistent finding is that labor supply responses are concentrated along the extensive (entry) margin, rather than the intensive (hours worked) margin. This distinction has important implications for the design of tax-transfer programs and for the welfare evaluation of tax reforms.
Race, Income, and College in 25 Years: The Continuing Legacy of Segregation and Discrimination
Rothstein, Jesse with Alan Krueger and Sarah Turner. American Law and Economics Review 8(2), Summer 2006, pp. 282-311.
2006-06-01In Grutter v. Bollinger, Justice O’Connor conjectured that in 25 years affirmative action in college admissions will be unnecessary. We project the test score distribution of black and white college applicants 25 years from now, focusing on the role of black–white family income gaps. Economic progress alone is unlikely to narrow the achievement gap enough in 25 years to produce today’s racial diversity levels with race-blind admissions. A return to the rapid black–white test score convergence of the 1980s could plausibly cause black representation to approach current levels at moderately selective schools, but not at the most selective schools.
The Deterrence Effects of California’s Proposition 8: Weighing the Evidence
Raphael, Steven (2006), “The Deterrence Effects of California’s Proposition 8: Weighing the Evidence,” Criminology and Public Policy 5(3):471-478.
2006-05-06The Information Revolution and Developing Countries
Review of The Information Revolution and Developing Countries by Ernest Wilson. 2006. The Information Society, Vol. 22, No.1.
2006-05-01Learning and Developmental Disabilities
Durkin, M.S., H. Schneider, V.S. Pathania, K.B. Nelson, G.C. Solarsh, N. Bellows, R.M. Scheffler, and K.J. Hofman. “Learning and Developmental Disabilities.” Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries, 2nd Edition, Chapter 49. Jamison, D.T., et al (eds.) World Bank and Oxford University Press (Apr. 2006): 933-51.
2006-04-01Do Physicians Always Flee from HMOs? New Results Using Dynamic Panel Estimation Methods
5. Brown, T.T., J.M. Coffman, B.C. Quinn, R.M. Scheffler, and D.D. Schwalm. “Do Physicians Always Flee from HMOs? New Results Using Dynamic Panel Estimation Methods.” Health Services Research 41.2 (Apr. 2006).
2006-04-01OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of changes in relative health maintenance organization (HMO) penetration on changes in the physician-to-population ratio in California counties when changes in the economic conditions in California counties relative to the U.S. average are taken into account.
DATA SOURCES: Data on physicians who practiced in California at any time from 1988 to 1998 were obtained from the AMA Masterfile. The analysis was restricted to active, patient care physicians, excluding medical residents. Data on other covariates in the model were obtained from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, InterStudy, the Area Resource File, and the California state government. Data were merged using county FIPS codes.
STUDY DESIGN: Changes in the physician-to-population ratio in California counties include the effects of both intrastate migration and interstate migration. A reduced-form model was estimated using the Arellano-Bond dynamic panel estimator. Economic conditions in California relative to the U.S. were measured as the ratio of county-level real per capita income to national-level real per capita income. Relative HMO penetration in California was measured as the ratio of county-level HMO penetration to HMO penetration in the U.S. relative HMO penetration was instrumented using five identifying variables to address potential endogeneity. Omitted-variable bias was controlled for by first differencing the model. The model also incorporated eight other covariates that may be associated with the demand for physicians: the percentage of the population enrolled in Medicaid, beds in short-term hospitals per 100,000 population, the percentage of the population that is black, the percentage of the population that is Hispanic, the percentage of the population that is Asian, the percentage of the population that is below age 18, the percentage of the population that is aged 65 and older, and the percentage of the population that are new legal immigrants in a given year. All of the above variables were lagged one period. The lagged physician-to-population ratio was also included to control for the supply of physicians. Separate equations were estimated for primary care physicians and specialist physicians.
PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Changes in lagged relative HMO penetration are negatively associated with changes in specialist physicians per 100,000 population. However, this effect of HMO penetration is attenuated and at times reversed in areas where the magnitude of the difference in relative economic conditions is sufficiently large. We did not find any statistically significant effects for primary care physicians.
CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with prior studies, we find that changes in physician supply are associated with changes in relative HMO penetration. Relative economic conditions are an important moderator of the effect of changes in relative HMO penetration on physician migration.